Federica Urgesi vs Kateryna Diatlova Head-to-Head Stats, Results & Performance Comparison

• Recent second serve performance displays Kateryna Diatlova winning 41.12% of points, while Federica Urgesi nets 36.72%.
• Why might this matter? The correlation between second serve points and match outcomes is significant, hinting at a small advantage for Diatlova.
• Analysis of return games shows Urgesi winning 56.16% of opponent's second serve points; Diatlova gathers 50.14%.
• Furthermore, Urgesi secures 38.39% of first serve return points compared to Diatlova's 34.24%, providing her an edge in return games.
• When under pressure, Urgesi has saved 47.69% of breakpoints, surpassing Diatlova's 38.58% save rate—indicative of Urgesi's ability to handle critical moments.
• Last year's win rate showcases Diatlova's 63.64% success (21/12 W/L), superior to Urgesi's 53.23% (33/29).
• On specific surfaces, Urgesi excels on Indoor Hard courts with a 63% win rate, while Diatlova favors Hard courts at 63%.
• Level of competition plays a role; Diatlova's opponents have an average rank of 264.58, compared to Urgesi's 463.66, suggesting Diatlova has faced tougher opposition.
• In matches that go to a deciding set, Urgesi prevails 56% of the time, offering her resilience in tight scenarios; Diatlova trails at 38%.

Editorial Prediction (November 10, 2025, UTC):

In assessing the head-to-head statistics, it's evident that Kateryna Diatlova demonstrates stronger second serve capabilities. This could play a pivotal role as such metrics have a strong correlation with match victories.

However, Federica Urgesi showcases a formidable return game, especially on opponents' second serves. This, paired with her ability to handle breakpoints effectively, suggests she has a psychological edge in critical match moments.

While Kateryna has a better win rate over the last year, she often competes against tougher opposition, potentially preparing her well for challenging matches. Nonetheless, Urgesi's higher success rate in deciding sets signals her resilience when the match extends.

Considering the comprehensive statistics, Federica Urgesi appears to have slight advantages in return potentials and break-point scenarios, which could tilt the match in her favor, particularly if a deciding set is involved.

Therefore, Federica Urgesi is predicted to likely triumph in this upcoming tennis match, contingent on maintaining her recent form and capitalizing on her strengths under pressure.